Saturday, April 27, 2024

The Good News On Climate

Roger Pielke Jr on the actual state of climate science as of 2024, with a nod to John Kerry for recognizing the reality of the consensus, as accepted by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which is quite different from the media and NGO consensus, as well as quite different from President Biden's frequent assertion that the climate crisis is "the existential threat to human existence as we know it" (November 21, 2021, though you can see a similar statement from the president from earlier this month).

In the video below, Pielke discusses why the the current consensus is a temperature increase of 2-2.5 degrees Celsius by 2100 from a 1850-1900 baseline, of which half that increase has already occurred.  He explains why climate scenarios were so far off, and the growing disconnect between the science and what is being presented in the media and elsewhere as a threat to human existence.

The temperature increase will pose problems, but it is a manageable one with the right policies in place, and does not pose a threat to human existence.

The presentation starts at 29:40 and runs for about 12 minutes.  And extra added bonus - the first speaker, Steve Hayward, at 18:35 mentions The State of the Nation's Ecosystems report, a product of the Heinz Center, for which I served on the advisory board.

  The scenario problem that Roger addresses was the subject of a previous post, Changing Climate, in which I go into more detail on not only how the scenarios originated, but how the least plausible one has been, and continues to be, deliberately and unethically used to scare the public.  Please don't fall for the continued stream of dire news articles on climate because they are all based on studies using RCP 8.5, the unrealistic scenario which has diverged so much from reality that it will be completely discarded soon - at least in the IPCC world.

Along those lines, YouTube has added an explanatory note to the video above on Climate Change which links to the UN's Climate Action website which contains quite a bit of disinformation and hyperbole.

Friday, April 26, 2024

I Miss These Guys

Lalo, Gus, Mike, and Howard. They're all gone now.  Lalo murdered Howard.  Gus killed Lalo.  Mike buried Howard and Lalo, and then Walt bombed Gus and shot Mike.

Thursday, April 25, 2024

One Party State

The report of John Durham, Special Counsel on "Matters Related to Intelligence Activities and Investigations Arising Out of the 2016 Presidential Campaigns", released on May 12, 2023, includes a section explaining the reasoning on whether and when to recommend criminal charges against individuals.(1)  Durham explains that one of the reasons for declining prosecution is that:

. . . in examining politically-charged and high-profile issues such as these, the Office must exercise - and has exercised - special care.  First, juries can bring strongly held views to the courtroom in criminal trials involving political subject matters, and those views can, in turn, affect the likelihood of obtaining a conviction, separate and apart from the strength of the actual evidence and despite a court's best efforts to empanel a fair and impartial jury." (p.5)

Let me put this in plain English.  Any prosecution filed in Federal Court by Durham would have had to be in the District of Columbia or the Eastern District of Virginia.  Durham recognizes that in a politically charged case in those districts you cannot convict anyone coded as anti-Republican.  In 2020, Biden won 95% of the vote in DC and 81% in Arlington County, Virginia.

The reality is that the Federal workforce and the consultant/lobbyist blob that lives in these areas are heavily Democratic and have grown more radical over the years.  This is a problem not just for the legal system, it goes to whether our democracy can work in a fair way.

It is entrenched and very astute on ways to preserve itself.  For many reasons, the current system needs to be disrupted.

Article 2, Section 1 of the U.S. Constitution states,

The executive Power shall be vested in a President of the United States of America.  

Because of the dominance of Democrats in federal service, a Democratic president can effectively implement their agenda, but a Republican president will not get deference from that same bureaucracy, which is protected by civil service and union rules and almost impossible to fire obstructionists.  A few years ago I was seated at a ball game next to a guy who had recently retired as a senior economist in the Department of Agriculture.  When I asked what his job involved, he replied, "making sure political appointees didn't make any important decisions."  During the Trump administration, the president encountered continual obstruction on implementing his policies.  Finally, and too late, like so many things he did, in October 2020 Trump issued an Executive Order creating created a new job category for federal employees in policy-related positions, dubbed Schedule F, that would exempt them from civil service protections and make them easier to remove.  After all, if the President is vested with the executive Power under the Constitution, why should he not be able to control the executive branch, instead of leaving the Power with unelected bureaucrats?

However, to ensure that the bureaucracy remains dominated by Democrats, the Biden administration's Office of Personnel Management just issued final regulations that according to Government Executive online:

The new regulation — which will be published in the Federal Register for public inspection on Thursday — seeks to provide 2.2 million federal employees with defined protections that would make it difficult for a future administration to re-apply the Trump policy, known as Schedule F.

Democrats understand how critical it is for the party to maintain control of the Federal government, regardless of which party controls the Presidency.  This is an undermining of the constitutional authority of the President and is a direct attack on our democracy.  It also ensures that those living in DC and surrounding districts will remain loyal to the party, with the consequences for our legal system outlined in the Durham Report.

In his hypocritical statement, released at the time of the OPM Rule, President Biden claimed:

"Today, my administration is announcing protections for 2.2 million career civil servants from political interference, to guarantee that they can carry out their responsibilities in the best interest of the American people," 

It is precisely because Democratic control of the bureaucracy allows the party to politically interfere with our democracy when a president of the opposing party is in office that the new rule is being promulgated.

For more on the danger of the administrative state, read this piece by Philip Hamburger of Columbia Law School and founder of the New Civil Liberties Alliance, an organization I support.

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(1) For my other posts on the Durham Report go here.

Tuesday, April 23, 2024

Peak Psychedelia

Vanilla Fudge doing their cover of The Supremes' You Keep Me Hangin' On, a #1 hit for the Motown group in 1966.  This is from the Ed Sullivan Show on January 14, 1968.  For the full nearly 7-minute album version listen here.  One of the great covers in rock.  Fudge specialized in slowed-down versions of rock and pop songs.  I listened to a lot of their stuff.  Drummer Carmine Appice is the best-known member, going on to play with Rod Stewart and many others, along with authoring a popular training book for drummers.  Three of the four original band members, including Appice, toured as recently as 2022.

Monday, April 22, 2024

Election '24

 I may write this guy in.